双语阅读:中国经济何时才能超越美国?When will China economy surpass US?

来源:百度文库 编辑:神马文学网 时间:2024/06/03 07:00:10
China'seconomy has surpassed Japan's to become the No. 2 economy in the world, but economists deem that America doesn't need to worry about China leaving the US in the dust anytime soon, said an article in the Christian Science Monitor.
基督教科学箴言报撰文称,中国已超越日本成为世界第二大经济体,但经济学家认为美国无需担心中国会很快将其抛在身后。
According to the article, China probably will not surpass US under current growth rates. "The numbers illustrate the vast gulf. The Chinese economy, the International Monetary Fund estimates, will total about $5.4 trillion this year, while the US will be about $14.8 trillion – almost three times the size of the Chinese economy."
以中国现在的增幅将不可能超越美国。“数字说明了差距的巨大。国际货币基金估计,今年中国经济总额将达到约5.4万亿,而美国约14.8万亿,几乎为中国的三倍。”
To catch up with the US, China will have to grow extremely fast while the US economy dawdles, which most economists believe is unlikely, said the article. "For China to catch the US in 10 years, its economy would have to grow at more than 12 percent per annum, while the US grows at 2 percent," Jay Bryson, international economist at Wells Fargo Economics in Charlotte, N.C., estimates.
要赶上美国,要中国极速发展而美国经济停滞不前,而大多数经济学家认为这不可能。“中国要在10年内赶上美国,则每年需增长超过12%,而美国只能2%。”
Moreover, John Hawksworth, an economist at PricewaterhouseCoopers, makes the point that "Chinese growth will begin to slow after 2020 because of its rapidly aging population."
而且,“由于老龄人口的快速增加,中国的经济增长在2020年之后将放缓。”
Even when China's gross domestic product moves past America's, said the article, China, with a population of 1.3 billion people, will still be far behind the US, with its 307 million people, in terms of standard of living. "The average Chinese will not live as good as the average American for at least a century," Bryson estimates.
即便中国的GDP超过美国,13亿人口的中国生活水平仍将远远落后于3.07亿的美国。“至少100年以内中国的平均生活水平不会赶上美国。”
But Bryson predicted that as China is becoming dominant, it's only a matter of time until China catches the US.
但Bryson预测,鉴于中国正变得强势,赶上美国只是个时间问题。
Different aspects bring about different fields of vision. Different positions lead to different responsibilities. A large proportion of people, including me, are used to debasing China's surpassing. However, China's rapid development is an undeniable truth, regardless of our doubt or ... disappointment. As mentioned above, foreigners are well aware of China's real situation, and still they attempt to make China "developed". Even though China is trying to evade the imposed title, it is inevitable for China to take on the responsibilities as a "great power". That is China's fate!